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Legislative Assembly for the ACT: 1996 Week 12 Hansard (21 November) . . Page.. 4148 ..


MINISTER FOR THE ENVIRONMENT LAND AND PLANNING

LEGISLATIVE ASSEMBLY QUESTION

QUESTION NO. 330

Gungahlin - Population Projections

Ms Follett - to ask the Minister for the Environment, Land and Planning -

(1) What are the current projections of (a) population and (b) suburb development in Gungahlin?

(2) How do these projections differ from those at the initial establishment of Gungahlin?

Mr Humphries - the answer to the member's question is as follows:

(1) The current planning assumption for Gungahlin population in 2001 is 21,500 which is about 13,000 less people than the latest official district population projections prepared in 1993/94 by the Chief Minister's Department.

The existing estimated population level in Gungahlin is around 13,000. In June 1996, the total number of occupied dwellings were 4458 in Gungahlin (Amaroo 251; Ngunnawal 1869; Nicholls 568 and Palmerston 1750).

The current Residential Land Release Program includes further land releases in the existing suburbs until 2001. In June 1996, there were 2388 dwellings in developers' pipeline and about 700 dwellings under construction or unoccupied in Gungahlin. The Planning and Land Management Group (PALM) in DUS is currently reviewing the development sequence in Gungahlin, in the light of the slowed growth and the Gungahlin Town Centre variation which changed the layout of some suburbs around the Town Centre. This study will determine the sequence of suburbs to be developed after Palmerston, Ngunnawal, Nicholls and Amaroo.

(2) It is now estimated that there will be about 13,000 less people in 2001 compared to the projections at the initial establishment of Gungahlin. By also considering the recent estimates in the Budget Paper (about 0.4 & 0.6% annual population growth for three years), the difference of 13,000 is expected to increase.

There are no current revised district/suburb population projections reflecting the recent changes to the total ACT population forecasts. The Economic Policy and Research Section of the CMD will shortly be starting the preparation of official district/suburb population projections which are expected for release in early 1997. This work depends on the finalisation of the land release and development program for the next ten years. The figures I am giving today are the assumptions used for current planning studies in Gungahlin at PALM.


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